I'm adding some scans for demand and supply. Trades done on this counters will not be recorded in the TAZ P&L.
I will come out with another excel to monitor this.
I'm not convinced of the New Moon and Full Moon so I'm starting to track it all over again.
16 Jan 10 - New Moon - Market Peaked.
30 Jan 10 - Full Moon - Market bottomed.
15 Feb 10 - New Moon - Peak or bottom?
Feel free to comment or give suggestions to improve trading the setup.
Bulls Scan Results
- CMA - Bounced on demand and EMA30.
- TGT - Bounced on demand.
- UNH - hammer on EMA30.
Bears Scan Results
- JCP - 5/2/10: Bearish engulfing. Price did not retrace 50%. Hour chart supply at $25.47. Waiting for alert to trigger.
- ANF - Very near supply level. Daily supply at $34.98. Waiting for alert to trigger.
- CSCO - Hourly supply at $23.97.
- ENS - Supply at $22.57
Review (Watchlist)
Bulls
- UUP - 12/1/10: Broke out of downtrend channel resistance. 1st pullback to TAZ but now below EMA30. Will continue to monitor just to see where USD goes. RS broke out downtrend resistance and strengthening. Now $23.65 over SMA200!!! Reaching weekly supply soon at $23.85.
- BIIB -24/1/10: doji at resistance turn support. XLV and BIIB RS up. 25/1/10: BOT at $52.53. This trade is not following TAZ. I'm entering based on demand zone. Stop loss $51.87 Target $55.12. Now $53.53.
Trades below are violating TAZ rules of longing when SMA10 is below EMA30 in SPY.
- MRK - 1/2/10: Spinning top on EMA30 and demand zone. Entered at $38.19. Stop loss $37.58. Target $41.35. Now $37.10. Stopped out at $37.58.
- TEVA - 28/1/10: Bullish harami Doji + hammer. XLV hit demand and RS present. TEVA near demand zone and RS up. Entered at $56.68. Stop loss $55.75 Target $59.29. Now $57.76.
- CHL - 6/1/10: doji at SMA50 resistance. Relative strength still down. IXP sector is also losing strength. Entry at $47.16. Stop loss $47.34. Target $45.13. 7/1/10: Did not trigger but CHL is in a nice downtrend. Will continue to monitor to see if price will go down from here. So far when price is near the downtrend resistance, it goes down fast. 12/1/10: Broke out of channel with huge volume. If price shoot pass SMA200, time to look for 1st pullback to TAZ. - Hit supply and came down with market. Testing resistance turn support now. 24/1/10: Gap support at 46.35.Major demand at 44.70- 45.31. Imagine the last few supply was broken but the last supply produces a very good profit. Looks like Demand and Supply can profit if we don't get too many trades wrong and provided we make the risk very small in the zones. Now 47.38.
- TLT - 24/1/10: Bonds are moving up fast. In TAZ50 but RS is up. If market rebound from here, I think TLT will fall. It's in a very nice down channel now. Now $91.58. I will not record this in the P/L as this is traded off TAZ50 and not TAZ30. Will monitor progress separately. There is history of price piercing SMA50 and there is supply zone right above. Price gap down last night. I will only short if it is in the zone where supply exceed demand. Possible Entry $92.46 Stop loss $93.2 Target $89.14 Now $91.98
- NA
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